地表基质养分元素空间变异及合理采样数确定——以黑龙江省宝清县万金山乡为例

    Spatial variation of nutrient elements in ground substrate and determination of suitable sampling numbers: A case study of Wanjinshan Township in Baoqing County, Heilongjiang Province

    • 摘要: 以宝清县万金山乡为例,应用ArcGIS 10.5地统计分析模块,对表层地表基质有机质、水解性氮、速效钾、有效磷4种养分元素进行空间变异分析,并对不同采样密度下有机质的普通克里金插值结果进行合理性分析,选用交叉验证的方式用均方根误差和预测值与实际值的相关系数来检验插值精度,最终确定采样数的合理性.结果表明:表层地表基质各养分元素空间变异性均属于中度变异,变异系数的顺序为有效磷>有机质>水解性氮>速效钾;各表层地表基质养分元素的基底效应均表现为中等空间相关性,其中有机质基底效应最大,水解性氮、速效钾、有效磷的基底效应相对较小,各养分元素的自相关距为水解性氮>有效磷>速效钾>有机质.对不同采样密度表层基质有机质的空间变异性分析结果表明,万金山乡合理取样数应不少于439个,即合理的采样密度应在2个点/km2以上.

       

      Abstract: Taking Wanjinshan Township of Baoqing County as an example, the paper analyzes the spatial variability of four nutrient elements (soil organic matter, hydrolyzable nitrogen, rapidly available potassium, and available phosphorus) in ground substrate using ArcGIS 10.5 geostatistical analysis module, and studies the rationality of ordinary Kriging interpolation results for organic matter in different sampling densities. The cross validation is employed to assess interpolation accuracy by the root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient between predicted and actual values, ultimately determining the suitable number of sampling points. The results indicate that the spatial variability of all nutrient elements in ground substrate belongs to moderate variation, with the order of coefficient of variation (CV):available phosphorus > organic matter > hydrolyzable nitrogen > rapidly available potassium. The substrate effect of ground substrate nutrient elements all shows moderate spatial autocorrelation, among which organic matter has the largest substrate effect, while hydrolyzable nitrogen, rapidly available potassium, and available phosphorus have relatively smaller substrate effects. The order of autocorrelation distance of nutrient elements is hydrolyzable nitrogen > available phosphorus > rapidly available potassium > organic matter. The spatial variability analysis of ground substrate organic matter under different sampling densities shows that the suitable number of sampling points in Wanjinshan Township should be no less than 439, corresponding to a reasonable sampling density of more than 2 points per square kilometer (2 points/km2).

       

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