黄河流域上游1990—2020年生态脆弱性评价及其演化分析——以兰州盆地为例

    Assessment and evolution of ecological vulnerability in the upper Yellow River Basin during 1990-2020: A case study of Lanzhou Basin

    • 摘要: 为实现“黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展”的国家战略,以兰州盆地为研究对象,选取年平均气温、年降水量、海拔、坡度、坡向、植被指数、土地利用(自然资源)类型、土壤类型等8项指标,通过建立多指标综合评价体系,利用主成分分析法,对该地区1990—2020年间的生态脆弱性进行评价分析.结果显示:1)1990、2000、2015、2020年兰州盆地生态脆弱性综合指数依次为0.93、1.06、1.04、0.90,整体生态环境质量低,表现出先恶化后转好的趋势.2)四期数据均表现出研究区生态脆弱性空间分布呈现北高南低.1990—2000年间,区域内北部低山丘陵区域生态脆弱性总体变差;黄河沿岸生态脆弱性明显好转;中部区域,其脆弱性由轻度、中度演变为重度;南部兴隆山区域生态脆弱性出现显著好转.2000—2010年无显著变化.2010—2020年整体生态明显好转,榆中盆地生态环境脆弱性整体低于2010年.3)兰州地区的生态脆弱性主要影响因素有海拔、坡度、降水、植被、自然资源类型及土壤类型.以上生态脆弱性变化数据可以为自然资源的统一管理、理论研究和国土空间生态监测提供数据支撑.

       

      Abstract: To support the national strategy of "Ecological Protection and High-Quality Development in the Yellow River Basin", this study selects eight indicators, i.e. mean annual temperature, annual precipitation, elevation, slope gradient, slope aspect, vegetation index, land use (natural resource) type and soil type, and establishes a comprehensive evaluation system to assess the ecological vulnerability in Lanzhou Basin during 1990-2020. With principal component analysis (PCA), the ecological vulnerability of the region over this period is analyzed. The results show that the comprehensive ecological vulnerability indices for 1990, 2000, 2015, and 2020 are 0.93, 1.06, 1.04, and 0.90, respectively, indicating a generally low level of ecological quality with a trend of initial deterioration followed by subsequent improvement. Spatially, the ecological vulnerability consistently exhibited a pattern of "high in the north and low in the south" across all four periods. During 1990-2000, ecological conditions generally worsened in the northern low mountain and hilly areas, while significant improvement was observed along the Yellow River. In the central area, vulnerability evolved from light and moderate to severe levels, whereas a notable recovery occurred in the southern Xinglong Mountain area. No significant changes were detected during 2000-2010. However, a marked overall ecological improvement was evident from 2010 to 2020, with ecological vulnerability in Yuzhong Basin being generally lower than that in 2010. The primary influencing factors for ecological vulnerability include elevation, slope gradient, precipitation, vegetation, natural resource type, and soil type. These findings on ecological vulnerability dynamics may provide data support for the integrated management of natural resources, theoretical research, and ecological monitoring within territorial spaces.

       

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